A significant factor in electoral behavior involves voters basing their decisions primarily on their perceptions of their own personal financial well-being and the state of the economy. This type of voting behavior assumes that individuals are rational actors who evaluate candidates and policies based on how they believe those candidates and policies will affect their wallets and financial situations. For example, if an individual believes that the economy is improving under the current administration and their own financial situation is stable or improving, they may be more likely to vote for candidates from the incumbent party.
This method of assessing candidates has a considerable impact on election outcomes. When the economy is strong and individuals feel financially secure, the incumbent party often benefits. Conversely, during economic downturns or periods of high unemployment, voters are more likely to support the opposition party as a form of protest against the current economic conditions. Historically, presidential approval ratings are closely tied to economic indicators such as unemployment and inflation rates, demonstrating the power of personal financial considerations in shaping voting decisions.